Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.030914 0.033279 0.035644 0.038182 0.040825 0.043494 0.046388
2025-08-24 0.026023 0.029728 0.033558 0.037797 0.042342 0.047054 0.052293
2025-08-31 0.023111 0.027534 0.032213 0.037500 0.043275 0.049363 0.056236
2025-09-07 0.020920 0.025872 0.031220 0.037370 0.044193 0.051484 0.059816
2025-09-14 0.018790 0.024094 0.029934 0.036759 0.044441 0.052749 0.062347
2025-09-21 0.016936 0.022494 0.028727 0.036124 0.044559 0.053783 0.064541
2025-09-28 0.015161 0.020869 0.027392 0.035251 0.044325 0.054353 0.066152
2025-10-05 0.014580 0.020613 0.027603 0.036117 0.046037 0.057078 0.070152
2025-10-12 0.013785 0.020046 0.027406 0.036470 0.047127 0.059076 0.073313
2025-10-19 0.012769 0.019151 0.026769 0.036264 0.047534 0.060268 0.075534
2025-10-26 0.012507 0.019177 0.027228 0.037345 0.049434 0.063163 0.079696
2025-11-02 0.011845 0.018659 0.026993 0.037571 0.050308 0.064861 0.082473
2025-11-09 0.010868 0.017746 0.026310 0.037318 0.050705 0.066120 0.084891
2025-11-16 0.009931 0.016855 0.025638 0.037078 0.051131 0.067439 0.087422
2025-11-23 0.009053 0.015984 0.024941 0.036762 0.051427 0.068571 0.089705
2025-11-30 0.008328 0.015277 0.024420 0.036637 0.051930 0.069930 0.092239
2025-12-07 0.007474 0.014336 0.023551 0.036033 0.051815 0.070530 0.093861
2025-12-14 0.006684 0.013433 0.022691 0.035406 0.051643 0.071037 0.095351
2025-12-21 0.005878 0.012451 0.021679 0.034543 0.051144 0.071125 0.096322
2025-12-28 0.005710 0.012431 0.021983 0.035399 0.052803 0.073829 0.100422
2026-01-04 0.005389 0.012153 0.021911 0.035747 0.053813 0.075739 0.103568
2026-01-11 0.004921 0.011606 0.021440 0.035544 0.054106 0.076763 0.105641
2026-01-18 0.004861 0.011725 0.021914 0.036612 0.056030 0.079792 0.110142